Down to the Wire. California US House Election Could End in Improbable Tie Vote for 2nd Place

SAN JOSE, Calif.—A U.S. House race in California appears headed for a mathematically improbable result—after more than 180,000 votes were cast, a tie for second place. If the numbers hold, that means that the state’s “top two” election system would have to make room for a third candidate on the November ballot, an apparent first for a House race in the state. “This is a fantastically unlikely outcome,” said Paul Mitchell of Political Data Inc., a research firm that closely tracks voting trends. Eleven candidates were on the ballot in the heavily Democratic 16th District in the March 5 primary, south of San Francisco, a seat being vacated by retiring Democratic Rep. Anna Eshoo. Under California rules, all candidates appear on the same primary ballot, but only the two with the most votes advance to the general election, regardless of political party....