Congressional Races to Watch in 2024

Published on February 2, 2024

With party presidential primaries coalescing into a November 2024 rematch between Republican former President Donald Trump and Democrat President Joe Biden, United States Senate and House races are regaining a priority focus. Democrats, including three independents who caucus with them, control the U.S. Senate, 51–49. With 23 Democrat incumbents among 34 Senate seats on ballots nationwide, sheer math favors the GOP gaining a Senate majority in 2024. Retaining Republicans’ slim 219–213 House majority could, however, be more problematic. Which party controls the House in January 2025 largely depends on how 2024 candidates contend in 68 potentially competitive races across the nation’s 435 congressional districts. While sheer math favors Republicans in the Senate, court-imposed math handicaps the GOP in 2024 House races....

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