ANALYSIS: Bank of Canada Still in Rate-Hike Mode as Recession Indicators Mount

Published on December 6, 2023

OTTAWA—The Bank of Canada in its Dec. 6 rate announcement painted a picture of a worsening economy but not one that needs a cut in interest rates quite yet. The central bank pointed to a few ongoing areas of strength and concern, saying it “remains prepared to raise the policy rate further if needed.”  But economists don’t see a need for further rate hikes as recessionary conditions build. A key measure of worry cited is gross domestic product (GDP) on a per capita basis, which Oxford Economics (OE) noted has been in a recession since late 2022. Closely related to this is productivity, which has declined for a sixth consecutive quarter, as reported by Statistics Canada on Dec. 6....